Cross-country comparison over absolute dates⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Cross-country comparison with approximately aligned start days⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Per-country analysis with exponential and sigmoidal projections, and new cases analysis⮸
IMPORTANT: The projections are only accurate if the fit is good (it often isn't), and assuming nothing changes
going forward. The sigmoid is omitted if a reasonable fit can't be computed, but this still doesn't mean that
the fit is good if it is shown.
The dashed lines show best fit projections from a few previous days for comparison.
Start date 2020-03-07 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $1,942,363$ on 2020-06-07
Best fit exponential: \(2.14 \times 10^{5} \times 10^{0.011t}\) (doubling rate \(27.3\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{1,908,875.6}{1 + 10^{-0.032 (t - 51.8)}}\) (asimptote \(1,908,875.6\))
Start date 2020-03-11 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $110,514$ on 2020-06-07
Best fit exponential: \(1.3 \times 10^{4} \times 10^{0.011t}\) (doubling rate \(26.5\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{108,080.8}{1 + 10^{-0.038 (t - 47.5)}}\) (asimptote \(108,080.8\))
Start date 2020-03-07 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $1,325,482$ on 2020-06-07
Start date 2020-03-06 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $97,178$ on 2020-06-07
Best fit exponential: \(1.02 \times 10^{4} \times 10^{0.011t}\) (doubling rate \(26.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{97,370.6}{1 + 10^{-0.034 (t - 53.0)}}\) (asimptote \(97,370.6\))
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $7,877$ on 2020-06-07
Best fit exponential: \(658 \times 10^{0.014t}\) (doubling rate \(21.8\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{7,826.0}{1 + 10^{-0.041 (t - 50.0)}}\) (asimptote \(7,826.0\))
Start date 2020-03-06 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $34,626$ on 2020-06-07
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $117,103$ on 2020-06-07
Best fit exponential: \(2.59 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.021t}\) (doubling rate \(14.5\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{193,568.5}{1 + 10^{-0.030 (t - 75.5)}}\) (asimptote \(193,568.5\))
Start date 2020-03-28 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $13,699$ on 2020-06-07
Best fit exponential: \(334 \times 10^{0.023t}\) (doubling rate \(13.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{26,077.0}{1 + 10^{-0.031 (t - 70.8)}}\) (asimptote \(26,077.0\))
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $19,629$ on 2020-06-07
Start date 2020-03-11 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $16,425$ on 2020-06-07
Best fit exponential: \(1.2 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.013t}\) (doubling rate \(23.3\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{19,588.8}{1 + 10^{-0.023 (t - 66.9)}}\) (asimptote \(19,588.8\))
Start date 2020-03-11 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $393$ on 2020-06-07
Best fit exponential: \(37 \times 10^{0.012t}\) (doubling rate \(25.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{382.6}{1 + 10^{-0.031 (t - 52.9)}}\) (asimptote \(382.6\))
Start date 2020-03-11 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $5,814$ on 2020-06-07
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $19,600$ on 2020-06-07
Best fit exponential: \(1.4 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.014t}\) (doubling rate \(21.7\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{23,174.3}{1 + 10^{-0.027 (t - 62.0)}}\) (asimptote \(23,174.3\))
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $538$ on 2020-06-07
Best fit exponential: \(93.3 \times 10^{0.010t}\) (doubling rate \(29.5\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{519.7}{1 + 10^{-0.034 (t - 37.7)}}\) (asimptote \(519.7\))
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $7,055$ on 2020-06-07
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $6,327$ on 2020-06-07
Best fit exponential: \(139 \times 10^{0.021t}\) (doubling rate \(14.3\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{9,786.3}{1 + 10^{-0.033 (t - 72.6)}}\) (asimptote \(9,786.3\))
Start date 2020-03-26 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $258$ on 2020-06-07
Best fit exponential: \(19.3 \times 10^{0.016t}\) (doubling rate \(19.3\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{371.2}{1 + 10^{-0.025 (t - 61.3)}}\) (asimptote \(371.2\))
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $5,357$ on 2020-06-07
Start date 2020-03-22 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $7,055$ on 2020-06-07
Best fit exponential: \(49.6 \times 10^{0.028t}\) (doubling rate \(10.7\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{13,529.7}{1 + 10^{-0.039 (t - 76.9)}}\) (asimptote \(13,529.7\))
Start date 2020-04-04 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $252$ on 2020-06-07
Best fit exponential: \(0.434 \times 10^{0.042t}\) (doubling rate \(7.2\) days)
Start date 2020-03-22 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $5,542$ on 2020-06-07
Start date 2020-03-25 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $3,015$ on 2020-06-07
Best fit exponential: \(85.6 \times 10^{0.021t}\) (doubling rate \(14.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{4,067.7}{1 + 10^{-0.036 (t - 62.7)}}\) (asimptote \(4,067.7\))
Start date 2020-03-31 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $53$ on 2020-06-07
Best fit exponential: \(3.26 \times 10^{0.018t}\) (doubling rate \(16.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{97.7}{1 + 10^{-0.027 (t - 64.5)}}\) (asimptote \(97.7\))
Start date 2020-03-25 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $1,657$ on 2020-06-07
